Chapter

Astonishing Reports

C. A. J. Coady

in Testimony

Published in print October 1994 | ISBN: 9780198235514
Published online November 2003 | e-ISBN: 9780191597220 | DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/0198235518.003.0010
Astonishing Reports

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Deals with puzzles raised by reports of deeply surprising events. There is a tendency to judge testimony harshly when it fails strikingly to conform to past experience (especially one's own), but this dismissive tendency is argued to be problematic. Discussions by Locke, Hume, Paley, Laplace, Mill, Bradley, and Peirce, amongst others, are examined and the relevance of Bayesian considerations is explored.

Keywords: Bayes; Bradley; disanalogy; Hume; identity of consciousness; lottery paradox; Mill; Paley; probability

Chapter.  10153 words. 

Subjects: Metaphysics

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