Chapter

The Balance of Probability

Richard Swinburne

in The Resurrection of God Incarnate

Published in print January 2003 | ISBN: 9780199257461
Published online November 2003 | e-ISBN: 9780191598616 | DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/0199257469.003.0014
 The Balance of Probability

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Summarizes the argument of the book. Given only a moderate amount of evidence from natural theology in favour of the existence of God and his having reason to become incarnate among humans, there is far more evidence that Jesus led the sort of life that God Incarnate would lead, and that that life was culminated by a super‐miracle, than there is for any other prophet in human history. In consequence, the overall balance of evidence in favour of the Resurrection having occurred is very strong. This is elucidated in the formalism of the probability calculus by Bayes's theorem.

Keywords: Bayes's theorem; God; incarnation; probability calculus; Resurrection

Chapter.  1130 words. 

Subjects: Philosophy of Religion

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