Chapter

China's Growth Model: Choices and Consequences

Eswar S. Prasad

in Emerging Giants

Published in print April 2010 | ISBN: 9780199575077
Published online September 2010 | e-ISBN: 9780191722141 | DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/acprof:oso/9780199575077.003.0007
China's Growth Model: Choices and Consequences

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China has maintained a phenomenal rate of growth over the last two decades (until very recently), with annual GDP growth averaging about 10 percent. What accounts for this impressive growth performance? How long is this growth pattern likely to last and what are the risks? This chapter attempts to address these questions by providing a critical evaluation of the combination of macroeconomic and structural policies that has resulted in high rates of growth in recent years. The main argument is that the set of policies that has generated impressive headline GDP growth masks a number of problems that have led to unbalanced growth and portend serious risks for the future. It then discusses the main elements of a reform agenda that would ensure the sustainability of China's growth, improve the economic welfare of its citizens in a commensurate manner, and make the economy more resilient to shocks.

Keywords: GDP growth; economic welfare; macroeconomic policies; risks; balanced growth

Chapter.  4298 words.  Illustrated.

Subjects: Economic Development and Growth

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