Chapter

 The Probabilistic Way

Wolfgang Spohn

in The Laws of Belief

Published in print March 2012 | ISBN: 9780199697502
Published online September 2012 | e-ISBN: 9780191739323 | DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/acprof:oso/9780199697502.003.0003
 The Probabilistic Way

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Probability theory will provide the all-important guide-line and standard of comparison of ranking theory, as it will be developed in this book. Therefore, this chapter provides a short introduction into Bayesian epistemology. However, as the lottery paradox shows, probability theory is unable to capture the notion of belief. This point initiates the subsequent exploration of how to construct a theory that is able to represent belief while preserving the epistemological virtues of probability theory.

Keywords: subjective probability; bayesianism; conditionalization; popper measure; lottery paradox

Chapter.  7323 words. 

Subjects: Metaphysics

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