Chapter

Predicting the Next Attacks

Charles Kurzman

in The Missing Martyrs

Published in print July 2011 | ISBN: 9780199766871
Published online September 2011 | e-ISBN: 9780199897414 | DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/acprof:oso/9780199766871.003.0006
Predicting the Next Attacks

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American government officials would like academic experts on the Middle East and Islam to help predict the next terrorist attacks. However, terrorism is not easily susceptible to predictive models—it is largely the work of small, secretive groups that are constantly adapting to countermeasures. In addition, there is an ethical dilemma in casting suspicion on large groups of potential terrorists and in stoking unnecessary panic among potential victims. A sensible discussion of terrorist threats needs to balance two cherished ideals, security and liberty, without tilting too far in either direction.

Keywords: Islam; Islamic; Muslim; terror; terrorist; terrorism; academia; prediction

Chapter.  11932 words. 

Subjects: Islam

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