Chapter

Testing the Argument

Patricia L. Sullivan

in Who Wins?

Published in print July 2012 | ISBN: 9780199878338
Published online September 2012 | e-ISBN: 9780199950294 | DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/acprof:oso/9780199878338.003.0004
Testing the Argument

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This chapter explains how historical data is employed here to evaluate how well the theory previously developed—referred to as the war aims model—stacks up against alternative explanations of violent conflict outcomes. It begins by asking what we would expect to observe if the model accurately represents the primary determinants of war outcomes. It derives specific, falsifiable hypotheses from this theory and the competing theories described in Chapter 1. It then discusses the data brought to bear on the problem and how the concepts are operationalized and measured in the hypotheses.

Keywords: armed conflict outcomes; historical data; war aims model; operationalization; measurement

Chapter.  10781 words. 

Subjects: International Relations

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