ecological inference

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A method for estimating probabilities in a transition matrix. The method has mainly been used in the context of political data. It is assumed that for every pair of political parties the probability of a supporter changing from one party to the other is the same in every constituency. If that is the case then, by studying the pairs ofvote totals for two elections, it will be possible to identify the transition matrix.

Subjects: Probability and Statistics.

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