Journal Article

On Probabilistic Risk Analysis of Technological Systems

B. Natvig and J. Gåsemyr

in Radiation Protection Dosimetry

Volume 68, issue 3-4, pages 185-190
Published in print December 1996 | ISSN: 0144-8420
Published online December 1996 | e-ISSN: 1742-3406 | DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/oxfordjournals.rpd.a031862
On Probabilistic Risk Analysis of Technological Systems

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The reliability of a system is defined as the probability of system functioning. In reliability theory one is studying how the reliability of a system can be assessed from the reliabilities of its components. In the first part of this paper the safety of a nuclear power plant is considered from a reliability theory point of view. In particular, we focus on the Chernobyl catastrophe in 1986 and the incidents at Le Bugey in 1984 and Barsebäck in 1992. Some main areas of modern reliability theory of interest for the safety of nuclear power plants are indicated. In the second part of the paper risk and risk aversion are considered by first showing how these concepts are applied in modern non-life insurance mathematics. At the end the link to the choice between different energy supplies is discussed.

Journal Article.  0 words. 

Subjects: Nuclear Chemistry, Photochemistry, and Radiation

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