Population Models and Counterinsurgency Strategies

Dominic D. P. Johnson and Joshua S. Madin

in Natural Security

Published by University of California Press

Published in print January 2008 | ISBN: 9780520253476
Published online March 2012 | e-ISBN: 9780520934313 | DOI:
Population Models and Counterinsurgency Strategies

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The quantitative tools of ecology can be useful in exploring the dynamics of terrorist or insurgent populations. This chapter uses data on two insurgencies (the Iraq War and the Malayan Emergency) to examine whether a population model can offer useful insights about insurgency growth, and what counterinsurgency strategies are most likely to be effective. Population models offer two main opportunities: by understanding and manipulating population parameters such as mortality, recruitment, and carrying capacity, populations can be either sustained (as with agriculture, fisheries, etc.) or eradicated (as with invasive species, pests, etc.); and population models can also offer insight into how populations can be controlled or prevented from emerging in the first place.

Keywords: ecology; terrorist; insurgent populations; Iraq War; Malayan Emergency; insurgency; population models

Chapter.  10685 words.  Illustrated.

Subjects: Evolutionary Biology

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