Propensities May Satisfy Bayes’s Theorem

David Miller

in Bayes's Theorem

Published by British Academy

Published in print May 2005 | ISBN: 9780197263419
Published online February 2012 | e-ISBN: 9780191734175 | DOI:

Series: Proceedings of the British Academy

Propensities May Satisfy Bayes’s Theorem

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This chapter discusses the question of whether the propensity interpretation of probability is a genuine interpretation of the calculus of probability. One of the main points of interest can be found in the difficulty of understanding the term P(A\C), when the occurrence A is temporally or causally anterior to the occurrence C. The chapter is able to determine that an intelligible interpretation of the calculus of probability as a calculus of propensities exists. Although it is not obviously a correct interpretation, it is a factual matter whether propensities obey the calculus of probability.

Keywords: interpretation of probability; calculus of probability; calculus of propensities; interpretation; propensities

Chapter.  2694 words. 

Subjects: Philosophy of Mathematics and Logic

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