Chapter

Reasonable Doubt: Uncertainty in Education, Science and Law

TONY GARDNER-MEDWIN

in Evidence, Inference and Enquiry

Published by British Academy

Published in print December 2011 | ISBN: 9780197264843
Published online January 2013 | e-ISBN: 9780191754050 | DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5871/bacad/9780197264843.003.0017

Series: Proceedings of the British Academy

Reasonable Doubt: Uncertainty in Education, Science and Law

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This chapter champions the elicitation and use of probabilistic measures of uncertainty. It compares two different views (roughly corresponding, respectively, to the Bayesian and frequentist approaches to statistical inference) as to how probabilities should be used as evidence. It argues that, while the former may be a logical ideal, the latter may be more appropriate in the special circumstances of the courtroom.

Keywords: uncertainty; education; probabilities; evidence; statistical inference

Chapter.  8212 words.  Illustrated.

Subjects: Social Research and Statistics

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