Chapter

Demographic Transition, Childless Families, and Economic Growth

Francis T. Lui

in The Economic Consequences of Demographic Change in East Asia

Published by University of Chicago Press

Published in print October 2010 | ISBN: 9780226386850
Published online February 2013 | e-ISBN: 9780226386881 | DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.7208/chicago/9780226386881.003.0011
Demographic Transition, Childless Families, and Economic Growth

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The status of being married, having siblings, and living in a larger house all have positive impacts on the number of desired children. Further, schooling, age, experience of work, and commuting time all have negative impacts on the number of desired children. Income is statistically insignificant in Tobit and Probit regressions, and shows a positive coefficient in the generalized Poisson regression. Factors lowering desired fertility include a perceived negative impact on job and career; lack of confidence in the education system; ignorance concerning how to raise children; distaste for children; and a lack of confidence in the existing marriage. There are also positive factors for desired fertility, including a inclination towards having children; a perceived social responsibility to have children; and a desire to have children in order to secure old-age support.

Keywords: Tobit and Probit regressions; Poisson regression; fertility rates; desired fertility; old-age; desired children

Chapter.  10854 words.  Illustrated.

Subjects: Business and Management

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