Sovereign Credit Risk in Latin America and Global Common Factors

Manuel Agosin and Juan Díaz-Maureira

in Macroeconomics and Development

Published by Columbia University Press

Published in print April 2016 | ISBN: 9780231175081
Published online September 2016 | e-ISBN: 9780231541213 | DOI:
Sovereign Credit Risk in Latin America and Global Common Factors

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the chapter studies the importance of global common factors in the evolution of sovereign credit risk in emerging economies between 2007 and 2012. Using principal component analysis and Kalman Filter, the authors find robust evidence for the existence of a common factor using two diferent measures of sovereign risk. The authors also find that the co-movement between this common factor and two measures of individual-country sovereign risk rose significantly after the bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers on September 15, 2008.

Keywords: sovereign debt; sovereign credit risk; principal component analysis; Kalman filter; emerging markets; capital flows

Chapter.  6203 words.  Illustrated.

Subjects: Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics

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