Bayes’s Theorem and Weighing Evidence by Juries

A. P. Dawid

in Bayes's Theorem

Published by British Academy

Published in print May 2005 | ISBN: 9780197263419
Published online February 2012 | e-ISBN: 9780191734175 | DOI:

Series: Proceedings of the British Academy

Bayes’s Theorem and Weighing Evidence by Juries

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  • Philosophy of Mathematics and Logic


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This chapter discusses Bayes's theorem and the weighing of evidence by the juries. It first examines statistics and the law, before moving on to testing between two hypotheses in court. Identification evidence and databases and search are examined as well. The chapter concludes with a brief discussion of some problems of legal reasoning that have been greatly clarified by examining them from a Bayesian perspective.

Keywords: Bayes' theorem; weighing of evidence; statistics; identification evidence; databases; legal reasoning; Bayesian perspective

Chapter.  8249 words. 

Subjects: Philosophy of Mathematics and Logic

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