Book

Bayes's Theorem

Edited by Richard Swinburne

Published by British Academy

Published in print May 2005 | ISBN: 9780197263419
Published online February 2012 | e-ISBN: 9780191734175 | DOI: https://dx.doi.org/10.5871/bacad/9780197263419.001.0001

Series: Proceedings of the British Academy

Bayes's Theorem

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Bayes' theorem is a tool for assessing how probable evidence makes some hypothesis. The papers in this book consider the worth and applicability of the theorem. The book sets out the philosophical issues: Elliott Sober argues that there are other criteria for assessing hypotheses; Colin Howson, Philip Dawid, and John Earman consider how the theorem can be used in statistical science, in weighing evidence in criminal trials, and in assessing evidence for the occurrence of miracles; and David Miller argues for the worth of the probability calculus as a tool for measuring propensities in nature rather than the strength of evidence. The book ends with the original paper containing the theorem, presented to the Royal Society in 1763.

Keywords: Bayes' theorem; probable evidence; hypothesis; probability calculus; Royal Society

Book.  160 pages.  Illustrated.

Subjects: Philosophy of Mathematics and Logic

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